Rethinking Social Impact Assessment for Recurrent Floods in Nigeria

Abstract ID: 2426
Status: Pending
Session: #108 — The Different: Disasters, Crises and Impact Assessment

Summary Statement

Recurrent Nigeria's floods erode livelihoods beyond physical damage. Study of 350 households shows significant impacts (F=14.450, R²=0.515), advocating cumulative community-based SIA

Abstract

Floods occur almost yearly in the Benue River Basin, yet impact assessment in Nigeria still focuses on physical damage and displacement figures, missing deeper social effects.This paper examines recurrent flooding as a differentiated disaster that erodes livelihoods and community resilience. Fieldwork from the 2022-2024 flood seasons used multistage sampling to select 350 farming households across flood-prone communities. Data from structured questionnaires and life histories were analyzed with descriptive and inferential statistics.Socio-economic results show farming is family-based, with 70% married household heads. Mean farm size was 1.82 hectares; 47.5% cultivate under 2 hectares and 46.7% cultivate 2.1-4.0 hectares, indicating subsistence production. Regression analysis shows flood variables significantly affect livelihoods. ANOVA results: F = 14.450, p < 0.001, significant at 1%, with R² = 0.515, meaning 51.5% of variation in production and livelihood disruption is explained by flood occurrence, farm size and experience.Impacts unfold in layers: onset brings family separation and collapse of support systems; in camps, health challenges, school dropouts and heightened vulnerability of women emerge; on return, debts, land disputes and competition over high ground; over time, rebuilding fatigue, loss of indigenous knowledge and normalized displacement.The study advocates a shift from one-off to cumulative, community-based SIA integrating local early warning, gender-specific vulnerability and resilience

Presenting Author Bio

Dr. Aondonenge Dickson Teran, FIMC is a Social Impact Assessment expert, Fellow of the Institute of Management Consultants, policy analyst and development consultant to government in Nigeria

Presenting Author

Aondonenge Dickson Teran
SPESSE, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University, Makurdi, Benue State, Nigeria
Nigeria

Coauthors

Peter Terfa Tsue
SPESSE, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University, Makurdi, Benue State, Nigeria
Nigeria
Adolphus Angol Naswem
SPESSE, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University, Makurdi, Benue State, Nigeria
Nigeria
Lami Angela Nnamonu
SPESSE, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University, Makurdi, Benue State, Nigeria
Nigeria
Christopher Oche Eche
SPESSE, Joseph Sarwuan University, Makurdi, Benue State, Nigeria
Nigeria
John Ikuba Ona
SPESSE, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University, Makurdi, Benue State, Nigeria
Nigeria
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